US Transit Privatization: the Problem of Spread-Think in Achieving Reform (term paper for Public Policy 850, Spring 1998)

Summary: Pending
The transit industry in the US today is a deeply troubled industry with two-thirds of its costs paird out of governmental subsidies, and ongoing suburbanization of America continuing to erode the densely populated urban areas that are the base of transit's market. One strategy for trying to expand transit's markets and hold down costs is privatization, which compromises such programs as sale of assests, franchising, use of vouchers, deregulation, and contracting out of services. Efforts to acheive agreement among transit constituencies on privatization intiatives have faced a serious problem of "spreadthink," as the term is explained in John N Warfield's Groupthink, Clanthink, Spreadthink, and Linkthink. In understanding and trying to deal with the problem of spreadthink, it is useful to classify its manifestations as reflecting either the Law of Inherent Conflict of the Law of Diverse Beliefs. Where there is inherent conflict of interests toward a policy initiative among different groups, the most logical solution is to create a compromise in which each party sees its gains as outweighing the losses.

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